⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
Spencer Steer
Spencer Steer
CIN RHB
Spencer Steer

Spencer Steer

RHB
CIN · 54 appearances tracked
5
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
9.3%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
14.2%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
89.7
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.192
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#8
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 5 games · 5 HRs in 54 games
Due (1×)
3.4×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
17
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
5
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
54
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
30
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
4
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
80%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#70.0
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
HR Days (While Top 50)
4 homers captured
DateRankPitcherStadium B/P WT BP EV Distance
2026-04-11 #34 George Klassen Great American Ball Park R/R ⚠️ 102.3 mph 383.0 ft
2026-04-14 #33 Robbie Ray Great American Ball Park R/L 107.1 mph 401.0 ft
2026-04-21 #43 Steven Matz Tropicana Field R/L 🔥 102.4 mph 387.0 ft
2026-05-10 #18 Kai-Wei Teng Great American Ball Park R/R 🔥 103.9 mph 355.0 ft
All Appearances
54 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-05-30 #113 Martín Pérez R/L * 15.5% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-29 #58 Grant Holmes R/R * 13.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-27 #162 Huascar Brazobán R/R * 10.3% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-26 #122 David Peterson R/L * 11.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-25 #99 Nolan McLean R/R * 14.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-24 #43 Brycen Mautz R/L * 15.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-23 #66 Andre Pallante R/R * 12.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-22 #25 Kyle Leahy R/R * 12.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-20 #25 Aaron Nola R/R * 16.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-19 #25 Jesús Luzardo R/L * 17.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-18 #22 Andrew Painter R/R * 18.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-17 #63 Gavin Williams R/R * 14.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-05-16 #38 Joey Cantillo R/L * 14.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-05-15 #43 Tanner Bibee R/R * 12.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-05-14 #17 Foster Griffin R/L * 20.3% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-05-13 #25 Jake Irvin R/R * 20.1% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-05-12 #12 Miles Mikolas R/R * 32.9% 🟢 A ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-05-10 #18 Kai-Wei Teng R/R * 13.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 💥
2026-05-09 #25 Spencer Arrighetti R/R * 18.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-05-08 #12 Mike Burrows R/R * 16.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-05-07 #27 Shota Imanaga R/L * 19.0% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-05-06 #60 Colin Rea R/R * 10.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 💥
2026-05-05 #31 Jameson Taillon R/R * 22.3% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-04 #28 Edward Cabrera R/R * 17.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-03 #175 Braxton Ashcraft R/R * 11.0% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-02 #179 Carmen Mlodzinski R/R * 11.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-01 #201 Mitch Keller R/R * 9.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-04-30 #18 Michael Lorenzen R/R * 23.9% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-04-29 #8 Tomoyuki Sugano R/R * 27.7% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-04-26 #8 Keider Montero R/R * 16.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-04-25 #13 Jack Flaherty R/R 24.4% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-04-24 #16 Framber Valdez R/L 22.7% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-04-22 #32 Nick Martinez R/R 22.7% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-04-21 #43 Steven Matz R/L 16.5% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 💥
2026-04-19 #139 Bailey Ober R/R 14.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-18 #136 Taj Bradley R/R 10.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-17 #103 Joe Ryan R/R 16.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-16 #11 Landen Roupp R/R 22.3% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-14 #33 Robbie Ray R/L 19.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 💥
2026-04-12 #44 José Soriano R/R 13.8% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-11 #34 George Klassen R/R 18.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ 💥
2026-04-10 #78 Jack Kochanowicz R/R 13.9% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-04-09 #31 Max Meyer R/R 13.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-04-08 #123 Eury Pérez R/R 9.2% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-04-07 #102 Sandy Alcantara R/R 10.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-04-06 #132 Janson Junk R/R 7.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-04-05 #170 Jack Leiter R/R 9.0% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-04 #92 Kumar Rocker R/R 12.3% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-01 #164 Paul Skenes R/R 10.3% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-03-31 #132 Bubba Chandler R/ 10.9% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-03-30 #175 Braxton Ashcraft R/R 9.2% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-03-29 #182 Connelly Early R/L 1.7% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-03-28 #33 Sonny Gray · 15.6% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-03-26 #14 Garrett Crochet · 16.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·

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